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Video to drive 108% CAGR in mobile data use to 2014
Alex Leslie - Feb 10, 08:43 AM
Global mobile data traffic will reach 3.6 exabytes per month or an annual run rate of 40 exabytes by 2014, according to the Cisco Visual Networking Index report, offering forecasts on mobile data for 2009-2014. The forecast equates to a 39-fold increase from 2009 to 2014, or a compound annual growth rate of 108 percent. Two major global trends are driving this increase: the proliferation of mobile-ready devices and widespread mobile video content consumption.
By 2014, there will be over 5 billion personal devices connecting to mobile networks and billions more machine-to-machine nodes, the study predicts. Mobile video will represent 66 percent of all mobile data traffic by 2014, increasing 66-fold from 2009 to 2014 – the highest growth rate of any mobile data application tracked in the report. Over the past year, global mobile data traffic increased by 160 percent to 90 petabytes per month, a growth rate 2.4 times faster than fixed broadband data traffic.
The average mobile broadband connection generates 1.3GB of traffic per month, and by 2014, this is expected to increase to 7GB. The study predicts that more than 400 million of the world’s internet users will access the network solely through a mobile connection by 2014.
The Middle East and Africa have the highest regional mobile data traffic growth rate, with a CAGR of 133 percent over the forecast period. Asia-Pacific has a 119 percent CAGR, followed by North America with a 117 percent CAGR. India has the highest country mobile data traffic growth rate of any country, with a CAGR of 222 percent for the forecast period, followed by China with 172 percent and South Africa at 156 percent CAGR.
The Cisco VNI Global Mobile Data Forecast methodology relies upon various independent analyst forecasts as well as real-world mobile data usage studies.
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